Net Zero Carbon Policy

Carbon policy briefing

Developing an innovation-friendly, economy-wide carbon policy framework for Net Zero.

Net Zero Carbon Policy is an Energy Systems Catapult thought leadership project, focusing on how the UK can develop an innovation-friendly, economy-wide framework for Net Zero.

We are building on the insights from our Rethinking Decarbonisation Incentives project, to develop credible policy options for an efficient and socially beneficial transition.

The challenge

Only thirty years remain before the UK must legally reach Net Zero carbon emissions. All major emitting sectors – transport, heating, manufacturing, power generation, and farming – will need to change radically to get as close as possible to Net Zero emissions by 2050. Our Rethinking Decarbonisation Incentives project, however, found that the UK’s current carbon policy framework is not fit for purpose to deliver such ambitions.

Our work showed that the current incentives (i.e. the ‘effective carbon price’ paid per tonne CO2e) arising from UK policies vary wildly across different sectors, even though the value of emissions reductions for mitigating climate change is the same. In simple terms, this suggests we may be over-rewarding some kinds of emissions-reducing activity while under-rewarding it in other activities or sectors.

The chart below shows the effective carbon prices and emissions in the UK by sector – the chart can be downloaded here, along with the underlying assumptions and data.

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Figure 1: Effective carbon prices and emissions in the UK by sector

A sector led approach to an economy-wide carbon policy framework

We have proposed that a sector led approach, which recognises the importance of sector specific barriers to change, provides the best opportunity to develop an economy-wide carbon policy framework pursuant with Net Zero energy.

By avoiding reliance on an overarching carbon pricing mechanism, policy can be designed at a sectoral level to address sector specific challenges, for example mitigating competitiveness impacts in industrial decarbonisation or enabling energy suppliers to create attractive consumer propositions for home energy services and heat decarbonisation.

Similarly, transitional and distributional impacts often have sector specific characteristics that require sector specific policy responses (e.g. targeted fuel poverty interventions).

Download the image below.

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Figure 2: A sector led approach to an economy-wide carbon policy framework

Net Zero Carbon Policy - Reports

Extending the UK Emissions Trading Scheme to heating and road transport fuels

This report examines the potential for reducing economy-wide emissions through extending the UK Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) to domestic heating and transport fuels, when implemented alongside existing policies.

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Addressing Carbon Leakage: Maximising Innovation and Minimising Competitiveness Impacts

Carbon leakage can occur if the competitiveness impacts that arise from carbon policies lead to emissions reduction from domestic organisations combined with increases in emissions in other jurisdictions, where carbon policy is either less ambitious or does not exist. This can lead to a net increase in global emissions. Carbon Leakage will remain a risk while there is a disparity between the strength of domestic and international carbon policies.

In this report, which also serves as our response to the government’s consultation, we focus on three carbon policy approaches: Pricing, Standards, Increasing Demand.

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Carbon Accounting and Standards in Industry: A Framework for Innovation and Growth

The report, produced as part of the Innovate UK-funded cross-Catapult Carbon Accounting programme, proposes a carbon accounting framework to overcome the complexity and limitations of the existing regulatory ecosystem by considering options for robust monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV).

The report calls for a common-sense approach to carbon accounting with standardisation where it makes sense and flexibility where it is necessary, including the standardisation of emissions disclosures and the creation of a distributed digital systems architecture.

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Carbon Accounting in Industry: Learning from the South Wales Industrial Cluster

In this report, we review options for policymakers to support a more consistent and coherent approach to the monitoring, reporting and verification (MRV) and accounting of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in industry, drawing on insights from industry stakeholders in South Wales.

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Developing the UK Emissions Trading Scheme

In this report we respond to the key questions in the Government’s Developing the UK Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) consultation, as well as highlighting opportunities for future sector expansion of the UK ETS not covered by the consultation.

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Towards Industrial Decarbonisation: The Strategic Role of Industrial Clusters

Highlights key themes for policymakers to consider in developing industrial clusters as a key component of a broader national strategy and policy framework to drive industrial decarbonisation across the economy.

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The future of UK carbon policy: how could the UK ETS evolve to help achieve net zero?

Explores the implications should the UK Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) be expanded to include three further sectors beyond those already covered by the scheme.

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The Net Zero Strategy and COP26: An Opportunity for UK Leadership in Net Zero Policymaking

Sets out how the UK can build on its existing regime of carbon targets to create a framework of policies and governance capable of delivering Net Zero.

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The Case for an Economy-Wide Carbon Regulator

Makes the case for a new regulator to oversee accurate and coherent monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV) of greenhouse gas emissions reduction and removal across the economy.

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Industrial Decarbonisation: Net Zero Carbon Policies to Mitigate Carbon Leakage and Competitiveness Impacts

Focuses on the UK context of international competitiveness impacts that arise directly from carbon policies and evaluate their ability to enable deep decarbonisation of industry in line with Net Zero pathways, while simultaneously mitigating carbon leakage and competitiveness impacts.

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Developing Carbon Credit Markets

Explores how linking sectoral policies through trading can play a key role in opening a pathway to an economy-wide carbon policy framework.

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Accelerating to Net Zero: A Sector Led Approach to Economy-Wide Carbon Policy Framework

Explores and makes the argument for taking a sector led approach that can accelerate progress during the 2020s from the incomplete and unbalanced pattern of current carbon policies towards a more coherent economy-wide carbon policy framework in the 2030s.

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Net Zero Carbon Policy - Comment

The state of carbon policy in 2024

Last month (October 2024), we saw Rachel Reeves give Labour’s first Budget since taking office. While the headlines focused on the £40 billion in tax rises, there were also some nuggets on carbon policy.

 

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How can carbon pricing of fuels used in domestic heating and road transport help the UK reach Net Zero?

The government has committed to increasing the role of the UK Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) in achieving Net Zero. With domestic heating and road transport fuels being two of the highest sources of carbon emissions in the economy, they are ideal candidates for any plans to expand the scheme. But what would be the impact of doing so on the economy and on consumers, ask Esin Serin and Danial Sturge, drawing on their new research.

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What does a UK Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism mean for industry?

In the run up to Christmas 2023, the UK government announced the implementation of a Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) by 2027. At this stage, the government have been light details, but the overall sense of direction has been laid out; we will see a UK CBAM, there will be better policy join up across carbon leakage measures (new and old), and carbon accounting sits at the heart of its success.

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Staying competitive in the race to decarbonise industry

The Commission for Carbon Competitiveness, a cross-party and cross-industry group, has published their inaugural Green Paper, ‘Fixing the Carbon Leak’. The Commission ran its own mini consultation alongside the government’s consultation process, receiving twenty written submissions as well as conducting four oral evidence sessions, in which Energy Systems Catapult participated.

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What’s next for the UK Emissions Trading Scheme?

Kicking off the summer, the UK Government and devolved administrations published their long awaited response to last year’s ‘Developing the UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS)’ consultation. For those of us who spend a considerable amount of time thinking about carbon pricing and carbon markets, this much anticipated document not only lays out where the UK ETS is heading for the remainder of this decade, but what its role might be out to 2050.

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Addressing the carbon leakage risk

Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanisms (CBAM) are in vogue. A CBAM can be used by a country or trading bloc to address asymmetric carbon policies between jurisdictions as a way of mitigating carbon leakage.

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Carbon Accounting: The Future is Digital

The ability to exchange, compare, track and trace emissions data through supply chains will be fundamental to the UK’s future low carbon economy. Complete and accurate data will support innovations relating to carbon intensive products and processes. Data will also support Government and consumers to make informed, low carbon, decisions.

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Untangling a messy carbon accounting landscape 

The current carbon accounting framework is a complex web of standards, methodologies, and reporting requirements. In our latest report, Carbon Accounting and Standards: A Framework for Innovation and Growth, we attempt to untangle this mess, drawing on our expertise in carbon policy and data and digitalisation.

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Carbon accounting is more than just numbers on a spreadsheet

Carbon accounting refers to the processes used to measure and allocate Greenhouse Gases emitted within a boundary – spatial (e.g. site-specific installation) and temporal (e.g. over a period of a year) – for the purposes of maintaining GHG inventories, producing corporate environmental reports, or calculating the carbon footprint of a product. It is also crucial for the operation of carbon policy mechanisms to incentivise decarbonisation, including market-based mechanisms, such as the UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS).

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Preventing Carbon Leakage: What policy options do Government have?

The Government recently announced that it will consult later in the year on carbon leakage mitigation options, including whether a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) could be appropriate tools in the UK’s policy mix. For those of us who have been thinking about this stuff for a while, this is good news.

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One small step for Net Zero, but still no giant leap

In September, we published “The Net Zero Strategy and COP26: An Opportunity for UK Leadership in Net Zero Policymaking” in which we asked Government to commit to seven key recommendations. So, how do the COP outcomes and the hundreds of pages of Government output stack up against our recommended commitments?

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If the UK is to achieve Net Zero, a carbon tax is not the silver bullet

Moves to simply apply a blanket carbon tax across the economy are unlikely to unlock the innovations we need to meet our ambitious emissions targets and risk backfiring if not handled with care.

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If Government is serious about Net Zero, it must implement a UK Emissions Trading System in 2021

But carbon pricing – either through a tax or a trading scheme – is not enough on its own to deliver that revolution. Getting the incentives rights is about a delicate balance between innovation support, regulation, and carbon pricing.

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Net Zero Carbon Policy

The implementation of robust and enduring policies and regulation will be essential to building the necessary confidence with innovators to invest in low carbon products and services.

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UK Emissions Trading System - Blog series

Part 1 – A window of opportunity for the UK to build world-leading carbon policy

The UK wants to be a global leader in the fight against climate change, and it can take a massive step forward this year by increasing the ambition of the new UK Emissions Trading System.

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Part 2 – How could the UK ETS be adapted and aligned with a market framework for zero carbon power?

Achieving zero carbon electricity by 2035 will be key to decarbonising many other sectors. The UK ETS combined with electricity decarbonisation policy mandates could be vital.

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Part 3 – How could a buildings decarbonisation strategy be linked to future developments of the UK ETS?

The UK ETS currently omits natural gas (and other fuels used for heating). If the scope of the UK ETS were expanded to cover buildings, specifically heating, we potentially introduce 27 million – mostly unwilling and uninterested – participants.

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Part 4 – How could the UK ETS work for industry and help UK competitiveness?

If UK industry is to lead the green industrial revolution towards meeting Net Zero, Government will not only have to incentivise deep decarbonisation of industry, but also ensure that UK industrial competitiveness is not unduly impacted.

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Part 5 – What is required for the UK ETS to link to the EU ETS?

The UK left the world’s largest carbon market – the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) – at the end of 2020. But with the UK holding its first auction of allowances recently, should we starting to think about linking the smaller UK market to its larger and older European cousin?

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Part 6 – New regulator could shape world leading UK emissions accounting regime to underpin UK ETS and our Net Zero ambitions

There is no point in creating policies like an Emissions Trading System or Carbon Performance Standards if the measurements they rely on bear little relation to empirical reality.

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Part 7 – How could incentives for land use be linked to future developments of the UK ETS?

Land use was always going to play an important role for emissions reduction, but Net Zero has upped the ante for the sectors directly impacted – agriculture and forestry. But how do we incentivise nature-based greenhouse gas removals and does the UK ETS have a role to play?

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Part 8 – How can the UK use its ETS to help reduce global emissions?

If the UK can make genuine progress to align its new UK Emissions Trading System with its legislated Net Zero target, then it can claim to be a global leader in carbon policy. This blog focuses on the many areas where UK experience has international relevance.

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Operationalising a Carbon Regulator

In July 2023, Energy Systems Catapult kicked off a two-year project that aims to set out how the concept of a Carbon Regulator could be brought to life. As part of the cross-Catapult Carbon Accounting Programme, funded by Innovate UK and led by the High Value Manufacturing Catapult, we are aiming to answer the question: What does regulatory oversight for carbon accounting and emissions data look like in a Net Zero economy?

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Markets, Policy and Regulation

Independent thought leadership that combines expertise in clean technology, economics, and energy policy design, informed by cutting-edge modelling and evidence-based analysis.

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